Clinical and pathological parameters predicting pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer

Objective
The aim of this study is to identify possible clinical predictors of complete response after neoadjuvant treatment in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients.
Background
Preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by total mesorectal excision and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy for LARC is the standard of care with a local recurrence rate of only 5–10%. On the other hand, various people react differently to neoadjuvant CRT. Neoadjuvant CRT is well received by the majority of patients, with a pathologic complete response (pCR) occurring in 10–30% of cases. Predicting the response to neoadjuvant CRT is crucial from a clinical standpoint, since patients with pCR have a better prognosis and may require a different treatment plan than patients without pCR. As a result, predicting pCR following neoadjuvant CRT for rectal cancer continues to be extremely useful for treating physicians. To identify the clinical and pathological variables linked to a full response to preoperative CRT for rectal cancer, we assessed a group of patients with pCR in this study.
Patients and methods
The study included 153 patients with LARC that were enrolled in the study based on specific inclusion and exclusion criteria. Patients were treated by standard neoadjuvant therapy. Surgical resection was planned for 6–8 weeks after the completion of neoadjuvant CRT, irrespective of the response to CRT. Pathological examination was performed to assess pathological response in the resected specimen. pCR was defined as the absence of viable tumor cells in the surgical specimen, including lymph nodes.
Results
After neoadjuvant chemoradiation, the pCR rate for rectal cancer patients was 20.8%; patients were split into pCR and non-pCR groups. Age, sex, BMI, performance score, tumor stage, tumor differentiation, tumor location, and surgical method were all evenly distributed across the two groups. The results of the multivariate analysis showed that pretreatment lymph node status, tumor size, and a carcinoembryonic antigen level of less than or equal to 5 ng/ml were independent risk factors of an elevated likelihood of pCR, as was an interval of more than or equal to 8 weeks between the completion of chemoradiation and treatment.
Conclusion
The pCR in rectal cancer following neoadjuvant chemoradiation is predicted by pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen level of less than or equal to 5 ng/ml, an interval of more than or equal to 8 weeks between the end of chemoradiation and surgical resection, tumor size greater than 5 cm, and pretreatment lymph node status. By utilizing these predictive variables, we are able to forecast patients’ outcomes and create flexible treatment plans. In certain, very specific situations, a wait-and-see policy might be appropriate.